Odds movement · Wednesday, October 7
Dropping Odds
The markets whose price has moved the most since the opening odds. The list compares the opening odds with the current odds, refreshed every hour; once the match kicks off the odds freeze and become the closing odds.
- 19:00Both Teams To Score: YesGnistan – Inter TurkuFinland · Veikkausliiga1.581.50−5.1%FT 0-0 · missed
- 14:30Match Result: DrawHaimen Codion – Xiamen FeiluChina · League Two2.972.82−5.1%FT 2-0 · missed
- 02:45Colombia – PeruBoth Teams To Score: NoWorld · Friendlies1.381.31−5.1%FT 2-0 · landed
- 14:30Match Result: AwayJiangx Beidame – Dalian KeweiChina · League Two1.911.81−5.2%FT 0-1 · landed
- 03:30Chicago – VancouverBoth Teams To Score: YesUSA · MLS1.331.26−5.3%FT 3-1 · landed
- 14:30HT Result: HomeFoshan Nanshi FC – Guangxi Hengchen FCChina · League One4.714.45−5.5%FT 1-0 · missed
- 05:30Mexico – ChileMatch Result: HomeWorld · Friendlies1.451.37−5.5%FT 0-2 · missed
- 02:00Argentina – BeninHT Result: AwayWorld · Friendlies27.5026.00−5.5%FT 3-0 · missed
- 14:30Match Result: DrawJiangx Beidame – Dalian KeweiChina · League Two2.802.64−5.7%FT 0-1 · missed
- 14:30Match Result: DrawNanjing City – Shaanxi Union FCChina · League One3.162.98−5.7%FT 1-4 · missed
- 14:30Match Result: HomeFoshan Nanshi FC – Guangxi Hengchen FCChina · League One4.504.24−5.8%FT 1-0 · landed
- 03:30Chicago – VancouverOver 2.5USA · MLS1.371.29−5.8%FT 3-1 · landed
- 14:30Both Teams To Score: YesFoshan Nanshi FC – Guangxi Hengchen FCChina · League One1.531.44−5.9%FT 1-0 · missed
- 14:30HT Result: AwayJiangx Beidame – Dalian KeweiChina · League Two2.652.49−6.0%FT 0-1 · missed
- 14:30HT Result: AwayNanjing City – Shaanxi Union FCChina · League One2.512.36−6.0%FT 1-4 · missed
- 11:00Both Teams To Score: YesTaian Tiankuang – Ganzhou Ruishi FCChina · League Two2.162.03−6.0%FT 3-0 · missed
- 03:30Chicago – VancouverHT Result: AwayUSA · MLS2.652.49−6.0%FT 3-1 · missed
- 03:30Chicago – VancouverMatch Result: AwayUSA · MLS2.172.04−6.0%FT 3-1 · missed
- 18:00Both Teams To Score: YesInter Toronto – Supra Du QuebecCanada · Canadian Premier League1.311.23−6.1%FT 1-2 · landed
- 05:30Mexico – ChileMatch Result: DrawWorld · Friendlies3.753.52−6.1%FT 0-2 · missed
- 03:35Ponte Preta – JuventudeHT Result: AwayBrazil · Serie B1.631.53−6.1%FT 0-2 · landed
- 02:30Over 2.5Colo Colo – Puerto MonttChile · Copa Chile1.461.37−6.2%Started
- 14:30Over 2.5Haimen Codion – Xiamen FeiluChina · League Two1.971.84−6.6%FT 2-0 · missed
- 14:30Over 2.5Foshan Nanshi FC – Guangxi Hengchen FCChina · League One1.471.37−6.8%FT 1-0 · missed
- 02:45Colombia – PeruUnder 2.5World · Friendlies1.571.46−7.0%FT 2-0 · landed
- 21:45Match Result: DrawGosport – Poole TownEngland · Non League Premier3.363.12−7.1%FT 1-3 · missed
- 02:45Colombia – PeruMatch Result: DrawWorld · Friendlies4.113.82−7.1%FT 2-0 · missed
- 01:30Under 2.5Sport Recife – Sao BernardoBrazil · Serie B1.701.58−7.1%FT 2-1 · missed
- 14:30Both Teams To Score: YesHaimen Codion – Xiamen FeiluChina · League Two1.781.65−7.3%FT 2-0 · missed
- 05:00Fransiz Guyana – BelizeMatch Result: DrawNorth & Central America · CONCACAF Champions League3.022.80−7.3%FT 1-0 · missed
- 21:45Both Teams To Score: YesAvro FC – LancasterEngland · Non League Premier1.461.35−7.5%FT 5-3 · landed
- 03:35Ponte Preta – JuventudeMatch Result: AwayBrazil · Serie B1.201.11−7.5%FT 0-2 · landed
- 14:30Match Result: AwayNanjing City – Shaanxi Union FCChina · League One1.941.79−7.7%FT 1-4 · landed
- 02:30Goias – Athletic ClubBoth Teams To Score: YesBrazil · Serie B1.971.81−8.1%FT 2-1 · landed
- 21:45Match Result: AwayAvro FC – LancasterEngland · Non League Premier3.993.66−8.3%FT 5-3 · missed
- 19:00Over 2.5Gnistan – Inter TurkuFinland · Veikkausliiga1.631.49−8.6%FT 0-0 · missed
- 21:45Both Teams To Score: NoGosport – Poole TownEngland · Non League Premier2.071.89−8.7%FT 1-3 · missed
- 11:00HT Result: AwayTaian Tiankuang – Ganzhou Ruishi FCChina · League Two6.906.26−9.3%FT 3-0 · missed
- 14:30Both Teams To Score: NoNanjing City – Shaanxi Union FCChina · League One1.901.72−9.5%FT 1-4 · missed
- 18:00Over 2.5Inter Toronto – Supra Du QuebecCanada · Canadian Premier League1.361.23−9.6%FT 1-2 · landed
- 14:30Under 2.5Nanjing City – Shaanxi Union FCChina · League One1.751.58−9.7%FT 1-4 · missed
- 00:00Saint Vincent – Sint MaartenOver 2.5North & Central America · CONCACAF Champions League1.451.31−9.7%FT 4-0 · landed
- 21:45Under 2.5Gosport – Poole TownEngland · Non League Premier1.931.74−9.8%FT 1-3 · missed
- 02:30Goias – Athletic ClubMatch Result: DrawBrazil · Serie B3.192.87−10.0%FT 2-1 · missed
- 03:00USA – CanadaBoth Teams To Score: YesWorld · Friendlies1.491.34−10.1%FT 1-0 · missed
- 01:30Both Teams To Score: NoSport Recife – Sao BernardoBrazil · Serie B1.781.59−10.7%FT 2-1 · missed
- 19:00Match Result: AwayGnistan – Inter TurkuFinland · Veikkausliiga1.721.53−11.0%FT 0-0 · missed
- 19:00HT Result: AwayGnistan – Inter TurkuFinland · Veikkausliiga2.252.00−11.1%FT 0-0 · missed
- 14:30HT Result: AwayHaimen Codion – Xiamen FeiluChina · League Two4.193.72−11.2%FT 2-0 · missed
- 14:30Match Result: AwayHaimen Codion – Xiamen FeiluChina · League Two3.493.08−11.7%FT 2-0 · missed
- 01:30Both Teams To Score: YesDepor Santani – GuairenaParaguay · Division Intermedia1.971.74−11.7%Started
- 11:00Match Result: AwayTaian Tiankuang – Ganzhou Ruishi FCChina · League Two6.585.79−12.0%FT 3-0 · missed
- 00:00Saint Vincent – Sint MaartenBoth Teams To Score: YesNorth & Central America · CONCACAF Champions League1.641.44−12.2%FT 4-0 · missed
- 05:30Mexico – ChileBoth Teams To Score: NoWorld · Friendlies1.811.58−12.7%FT 0-2 · landed
- 05:00Fransiz Guyana – BelizeMatch Result: AwayNorth & Central America · CONCACAF Champions League3.292.86−13.1%FT 1-0 · missed
- 03:35Ponte Preta – JuventudeUnder 2.5Brazil · Serie B1.741.51−13.2%FT 0-2 · landed
- 02:30Goias – Athletic ClubHT Result: AwayBrazil · Serie B5.044.36−13.5%FT 2-1 · missed
- 01:30Match Result: HomeSport Recife – Sao BernardoBrazil · Serie B1.701.47−13.5%FT 2-1 · landed
- 03:00USA – CanadaMatch Result: HomeWorld · Friendlies1.841.59−13.6%FT 1-0 · landed
- 01:30HT Result: HomeSport Recife – Sao BernardoBrazil · Serie B2.261.95−13.7%FT 2-1 · landed
- 00:00Saint Vincent – Sint MaartenHT Result: AwayNorth & Central America · CONCACAF Champions League5.815.00−13.9%FT 4-0 · missed
- 03:00USA – CanadaOver 2.5World · Friendlies1.571.35−14.0%FT 1-0 · missed
- 03:00USA – CanadaHT Result: HomeWorld · Friendlies2.372.03−14.3%FT 1-0 · landed
- 03:35Ponte Preta – JuventudeBoth Teams To Score: NoBrazil · Serie B1.441.23−14.6%FT 0-2 · landed
- 02:30Goias – Athletic ClubMatch Result: AwayBrazil · Serie B4.243.61−14.9%FT 2-1 · missed
- 00:00Saint Vincent – Sint MaartenMatch Result: AwayNorth & Central America · CONCACAF Champions League5.905.02−14.9%FT 4-0 · missed
- 05:30Mexico – ChileUnder 2.5World · Friendlies1.901.61−15.3%FT 0-2 · landed
- 18:00HT Result: AwayInter Toronto – Supra Du QuebecCanada · Canadian Premier League2.652.18−17.7%FT 1-2 · landed
- 18:00Match Result: AwayInter Toronto – Supra Du QuebecCanada · Canadian Premier League2.191.77−19.2%FT 1-2 · landed
- 01:30Match Result: DrawDepor Santani – GuairenaParaguay · Division Intermedia4.373.32−24.0%Started
- 02:30Both Teams To Score: YesColo Colo – Puerto MonttChile · Copa Chile2.031.45−28.6%Started
- 02:30Match Result: DrawColo Colo – Puerto MonttChile · Copa Chile5.393.76−30.2%Started
- 01:30HT Result: AwayDepor Santani – GuairenaParaguay · Division Intermedia7.245.00−30.9%Started
- 01:30Match Result: AwayDepor Santani – GuairenaParaguay · Division Intermedia7.404.51−39.1%Started
- 02:30HT Result: AwayColo Colo – Puerto MonttChile · Copa Chile9.105.02−44.8%Started
- 02:30Match Result: AwayColo Colo – Puerto MonttChile · Copa Chile10.355.13−50.4%Started
How often did dropping odds land in the archive?
All settled matches that have both opening and closing odds. “Realised” is the hit rate and “Market expectation” is the probability implied by the closing odds (bookmaker margin included). When the two are close, the drop only reflects the new price; a market whose odds dropped is not profitable by itself. Buckets with a sample below 100 show no percentage.
| Market | Dropped 10%+ | Dropped 5–10% | ±5% (flat) | Rose 5%+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result: Home | 44.3% expected 53.3% · n=12,302 | 48.4% expected 57.0% · n=11,849 | 43.6% expected 52.7% · n=22,529 | 33.5% expected 40.6% · n=10,277 |
| Match Result: Draw | 24.5% expected 31.0% · n=7,280 | 27.3% expected 32.6% · n=18,075 | 25.0% expected 30.8% · n=28,085 | 18.1% expected 23.0% · n=4,836 |
| Match Result: Away | 32.5% expected 39.9% · n=14,936 | 34.7% expected 42.4% · n=10,668 | 31.5% expected 39.3% · n=19,544 | 24.4% expected 29.7% · n=12,451 |
| Over 2.5 | 56.8% expected 66.9% · n=5,428 | 54.6% expected 65.0% · n=13,559 | 50.3% expected 60.4% · n=27,094 | 42.9% expected 51.8% · n=4,281 |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% expected 63.7% · n=6,795 | 51.4% expected 63.1% · n=14,262 | 47.3% expected 58.7% · n=25,172 | 38.1% expected 47.7% · n=4,182 |
| Both Teams To Score: Yes | 54.6% expected 65.8% · n=4,665 | 56.3% expected 66.1% · n=15,422 | 52.8% expected 62.9% · n=32,750 | 46.0% expected 53.8% · n=3,668 |
| Both Teams To Score: No | 49.5% expected 61.6% · n=7,246 | 48.4% expected 60.2% · n=17,314 | 45.3% expected 56.8% · n=28,574 | 40.5% expected 49.6% · n=3,376 |
| HT Result: Home | 35.5% expected 43.4% · n=10,389 | 36.9% expected 44.1% · n=12,368 | 33.6% expected 40.6% · n=22,722 | 26.4% expected 32.8% · n=7,885 |
| HT Result: Away | 28.1% expected 33.0% · n=12,004 | 27.9% expected 33.5% · n=11,383 | 25.0% expected 31.3% · n=20,549 | 20.4% expected 25.2% · n=9,398 |
What are dropping odds?
Dropping odds means that the opening price the bulletin first published for any market of a match (1X2 Home, Over 2.5, both teams to score and so on) falls before kick-off. As the odds fall, the probability the market gives that outcome rises. For example, if 1X2 Home odds move from 2.10 to 1.85, the drop is about 11.9%. This page compares the opening odds with the current odds read every hour.
Source/Method: Methodology
Why do odds drop?
Odds are updated with information that emerges before the match and with the balance of bets. Team and injury news, rotation, a difference in motivation or heavy betting on one outcome can push that outcome's odds down. In low-volume leagues small stakes can also move the price. This page does not show why the odds dropped; the movement only shows that the price changed.
Source/Method: Methodology
What is the difference between opening and current odds?
The opening odds are the first price the bulletin publishes for a market. The current odds are the latest price, read every hour until kick-off; when the match starts they freeze and become the closing odds. The change on this page is calculated as (current − opening) ÷ opening × 100. The bigger the difference, the more the market's view of that outcome has changed.
Source/Method: Methodology
Does a drop in odds mean a certain result?
No. Dropping odds do not guarantee the result; they only show that the market gives that outcome a higher probability. In the archive, across 12,302 matches where the Match Result: Home odds dropped by more than 10%, Match Result: Home landed 44.3% of the time; the probability implied by the closing odds was 53.3%. When the two numbers are close, the drop only reflects the new price. Use the movement as the start of your research, not as a decision on its own.
Source/Method: Methodology
How to read dropping odds
The iddaa bulletin publishes the first price for a match as the opening odds. Between then and kick-off, team news, injuries and betting volume move the price. When a market's odds drop, the market is giving that outcome a higher probability; when they rise, the opposite.
For every match this page compares the opening odds with the current odds fetched every hour and shows the difference as a percentage. Once the match starts the odds freeze; the value at that moment is the match's closing odds. The “Yesterday” view also shows the match result and whether the market landed, alongside the closing odds.
Keep two things in mind when reading odds movements. First, a sharp drop does not always mean new information; small stakes can move the price in low-volume leagues. Second, a dropping price does not mean the match will end that way: in the archive table you can see that the realised rate and the market expectation are usually close. Use a movement as the start of your research, not as a decision on its own.
For a deeper look, use Closing Odds Analysis, Opening Odds Analysis and the market-level archive pages (for example 1X2 Home odds analysis).
This page is for information only; it does not take bets, does not refer you to bookmakers and guarantees no winnings. Gambling is restricted to adults aged 18 and over.
Frequently asked questions
How often are the odds on this page updated?
Current odds are fetched automatically every hour. The 'Last update' time at the top of the page is the time of the latest successful run. Once a match starts, the odds freeze and that value is the match's closing odds.
Why are some matches missing from the list?
A match needs both opening and current odds to appear in the list. Opening odds are loaded daily; in addition, moves larger than 60% are hidden because they are usually data-matching errors.
What is the difference between Dropping Odds and the Odds Radar?
This page lists the total difference between the opening and current odds of every market. The Odds Radar tracks the same movements by time window and ranks the ones worth a closer look with a Radar Score. The Radar Score is not a probability of winning; it shows how notable the movement is.
Where can I see how yesterday's dropping odds ended?
The 'Yesterday (with results)' filter shows yesterday's closing odds, the match score and whether the market landed on the same row. For a longer-term table, see the archive section at the bottom of the page.