Closing · Opening · Result
Closing Odds Analysis
Pick a closing-odds range and see how matches that closed in that range actually finished. Every percentage is shown together with the number of settled matches it was calculated from.
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What's in the archive?
- 162,583
- Matches
- 103,728
- With closing odds
- 1,024
- Leagues
- 12,451
- Teams
Data ranges from 2024-01-01 to 2026-09-18. 57,027 matches have both opening and closing odds, so odds movement can be calculated for those.
- ▸Filter by closing-odds range or ± tolerance
- ▸Opening → closing movement and percentage change
- ▸Real outcome distribution — always with the sample size
- ▸League, team, date and multi-market filters
- ▸Save your own filters and re-run them in one click
What is closing odds analysis?
Closing odds analysis takes a match's last price before kick-off as its reference point and examines the real outcome distribution of past matches that closed in the same band. The opening odd is the value a match carried when it first entered the coupon; the closing odd is the final value it reached by kick-off time.
How it works
- 1.You choose a market and a closing-odds range, or a single odd with a ± tolerance.
- 2.The system filters the archive down to settled matches whose closing odds fall inside that band.
- 3.The outcome distribution is calculated from the matches' real scores and shown together with the sample size.
- 4.For matches where both phases are on record, the opening → closing movement can also be seen.
Data source and coverage
Closing odds are imported from a spreadsheet source separate from the opening odds. The two files cover different sets of matches: some matches have only an opening price on record, others only a closing price.
- 162,583
- Matches in archive
- 103,728
- With closing odds
- 158,293
- With a recorded result
- 57,027
- Opening + closing together
- 1,024
- Leagues
- 2024-01-01 → 2026-09-18
- Data range
What the result means
The closing odd is the last price formed before kick-off. The outcome distribution of the same band tells you which results that price level has historically appeared alongside — what has happened, not what will happen.
Limitations
- ·A match without closing odds is not counted on this page at all.
- ·The number of matches with both opening and closing odds on record is markedly smaller than the full archive; odds movement can only be calculated within that subset.
- ·A closing odd differing from the opening odd is not by itself a directional signal; the size of the move and the market it belongs to have to be read together.
- ·Past data is not a guarantee of future results; the final judgement is always the reader's.
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between opening and closing odds?
The opening odd is the price a match received when it first entered the coupon. The closing odd is its last price before the match is played. The gap between them shows how the information around that match changed over time, and for analysis that movement is the part that actually carries information.
Why do closing odds differ from opening odds?
Between the moment a match enters the coupon and the moment it is played, new information appears and the price is adjusted accordingly. That is why in most matches the closing odd differs from the opening one — and in some matches it does not move at all.
For which matches can odds movement be calculated?
Only for matches that have both an opening and a closing odd on record. Because the two spreadsheet sources do not cover the same matches, this is a subset of the full archive; the page states this openly and never treats missing data as zero.
Which is more reliable, closing or opening odds?
They answer different questions and neither replaces the other. The opening odd represents the first pricing of a match; the closing odd represents the final pricing after all the time in between. That is why the platform keeps them on separate pages and analyses both with the same method.
Related pages
This page is an analysis tool, not betting advice. See our Editorial Principles for how we publish and correct, and the Data Centre for the scope of the underlying data.