What is a Spor Toto guaranteed system?
Instead of playing every combination of the marks you choose, a guaranteed system plays a smaller column set that covers them. A k guarantee means: if the result of every match stays inside your selections, at least one of your columns gets at least k matches right.
Full system (15 guarantee) N = 2^doubles × 3^full covers k guarantee covering radius r = 15 − k Lower bound columns ≥ N ÷ V(r) m matches missed best column ≥ k − m
Example column counts
Values are calculated by the engine on this page. The lower bound shows that no system can be built with fewer columns.
| Selection | 15 G | 14 G | 13 G | 12 G |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 single · 5 double · 3 full cover | 864 | 92min 72 | 23min 14 | 8min 5 |
| 6 single · 6 double · 3 full cover | 1,728 | 171min 133 | 36min 23 | 12min 7 |
| 5 single · 7 double · 3 full cover | 3,456 | 312min 247 | 56min 39 | 23min 11 |
| 11 single · 4 full cover | 81 | 9min 9 | 3min 3 | 3min 2 |
| 15 double | 32,768 | 2,048min 2,048 | 496min 271 | 112min 57 |
| 15 full cover | 14,348,907 | 531,441min 462,868 | 59,049min 31,816 | 6,561min 3,508 |
6 structures · with a column price of ₺10, cost = columns × column price.
Spor Toto 15 guarantee system
A 15 guarantee is the full system: every combination of the marks you choose is played. If every match ends inside your selections, one column gets all 15 right.
The column count is a product: a single match multiplies by 1, a double by 2 and a full cover by 3. 7 singles, 5 doubles and 3 full covers give 1 × 2⁵ × 3³ = 864 columns.
It is the most expensive system; each extra full cover triples the column count. If all 15 matches are full covers, 14,348,907 columns are needed.
Spor Toto 14 guarantee formula
14 guarantee: if the result of every match stays inside your selections, at least one of your columns gets at least 14 matches right. It is built with far fewer columns than the full system.
Mathematically this is a covering code of radius 1 in the selection space: for every possible result sequence there is a column at most 1 match away.
For some structures the minimum is proven. 9 columns for 4 full-cover matches (ternary Hamming code) and 2,048 columns for 15 double matches (binary Hamming code) are perfect codes; fewer is impossible.
Spor Toto 13 guarantee system
13 guarantee: if all your selections hold, at least one of your columns gets at least 13 matches right. It is a covering code of radius 2.
If all 15 matches are played as full covers, a 13 guarantee can be built with 59,049 columns using the ternary Golay code — one 243rd of the full system.
Each match left outside your selections lowers the guarantee by at most one step: if one match is missed, the best column still gets at least 12 right.
Spor Toto 12 guarantee formula
12 guarantee: if all selections hold, at least one column gets at least 12 matches right. Spor Toto pays prizes from 12 right upwards; it is the cheapest guarantee level.
It is a covering code of radius 3. For 15 full-cover matches, 6,561 columns are enough by combining the Golay and Hamming codes.
The prize for 12 right is usually small and the number of winners is high; being cheap does not make it profitable. Measurements from past weeks are on the Backtest page.
Frequently asked questions
What is a Spor Toto guaranteed system?
A Spor Toto guaranteed system is a smaller column set that covers the marks you choose instead of playing all of their combinations, and it is named after a guarantee level such as 15, 14, 13 or 12. In an N-guarantee set it is mathematically verified that, if your selections cover the actual results of the 15 matches, at least one column gets at least N matches right. This guarantee does not guarantee match results; it is not a promise of winnings or prize money.
What does a Spor Toto 14 guarantee formula mean?
A 14 guarantee means that if your selections cover the actual results of the 15 matches, at least one of the columns will get at least 14 matches right. It does not mean your columns will get 14 right; every match left outside your selections can lower this lower bound by at most one step. It is not a guarantee of match results or winnings.
How is the Spor Toto column count calculated?
In a full system you multiply the number of marks chosen per match: single 1, double 2, full cover 3. For example 7 singles, 5 doubles and 3 full covers are 1 × 32 × 27 = 864 columns. In guaranteed systems the column count depends on the covering code and is calculated instantly in the formula centre.
What happens to the guarantee if a match ends outside my selections?
Every match left outside your selections lowers the guarantee by at most one step. In a 14-guarantee set, if one match is missed the best column still gets at least 13 right.
Is a guaranteed system built with the fewest possible columns?
For some structures, yes: with perfect codes such as Hamming and Golay, fewer columns are mathematically impossible. For mixed selections the minimum is usually unknown; the page shows the generated column count and the proven lower bound side by side.
Is the guarantee kept when a filter is applied?
No. Removing columns from a guaranteed set breaks the coverage. The formula centre re-measures the guarantee of filtered and budget-trimmed sets and shows the measured value.
Does a Spor Toto formula make you win?
No formula guarantees winnings. Spor Toto is a pool game; in easy-to-predict weeks the number of winners rises and the prize per winner falls. The real results of the strategies in past weeks are measured on the Backtest page.
See how many 12s, 13s, 14s and 15s these strategies produced in past weeks on the Spor Toto backtest page, and the week's match probabilities on the Spor Toto analyses page.