EredivisieHollandaFinished

Ajax - Excelsior

September 19, 2026 · 21:00 · Eredivisie

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Ajax

2 - 2HT 1 - 1

Away

Excelsior

What Do the Odds Say?

In Ajax - Excelsior, the side priced lower by the opening odds is Ajax (1.17); the other side is 8.58, draw 6.12.

The probability implied by odds of 1.17 is 85.5%. This value includes the bookmaker margin, so it is not a pure probability estimate.

On goals, the opening odds price Over 2.5 lower (Under 2.5 3.43 · Over 2.5 1.19).

The market that moved most from opening to closing is Both Teams To Score: No: 2.19 → 2.00 (-8.7%, shortened).

The match ended 2 - 2, half time 1 - 1.

The match ended in a draw; the lower-priced side in the match result market did not win.

This summary is a plain description of the odds on this page; it is not a prediction or a recommendation. Odds are market prices and do not show how the match will end.

Match Details

Home: Ajax
Away: Excelsior
League: Eredivisie
Country: Hollanda
Date: Sep 19, 2026
Time: 21:00
Status: Finished
Markets: 44

Odds Movement (Opening → Closing)

Both Teams To Score: No2.192.00-8.7%

Match Result: Home1.171.10-6.0%

HT Result: Home1.501.41-6.0%

Total Goals 0-18.447.96-5.7%

Under 3.51.971.87-5.1%

Match Result: Away8.589.01+5.0%

The change is the difference between the bulletin's opening odds and the closing odds. It is measured data, not a prediction.

Match Odds and Markets

1X2 (Match Result)

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Match Result: Home	1.17	1.10	-6.0%	LOST
Match Result: Draw	6.12	6.37	+4.1%	WON
Match Result: Away	8.58	9.01	+5.0%	LOST

Half Time

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
HT Result: Home	1.50	1.41	-6.0%	LOST
HT Result: Draw	3.10	3.03	-2.3%	WON
HT Result: Away	7.03	7.26	+3.3%	LOST
HT Under 1.5	1.88	1.80	-4.3%	LOST
HT Over 1.5	1.67	1.61	-3.6%	WON

Over / Under

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Under 1.5	—	7.50	—	LOST
Over 1.5	—	1.00	—	WON
Under 2.5	3.43	3.26	-5.0%	LOST
Over 2.5	1.19	1.15	-3.4%	WON
Under 3.5	1.97	1.87	-5.1%	LOST
Over 3.5	1.60	1.56	-2.5%	WON

Both Teams To Score

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Both Teams To Score: Yes	1.47	1.47	0.0%	WON
Both Teams To Score: No	2.19	2.00	-8.7%	LOST

Double Chance

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Double Chance: Home or Draw	—	1.00	—	WON
Double Chance: Home or Away	—	1.00	—	LOST
Double Chance: Draw or Away	—	3.50	—	WON

Total Goals

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Total Goals 0-1	8.44	7.96	-5.7%	LOST
Total Goals 2-3	2.46	2.35	-4.5%	LOST
Total Goals 4-5	2.46	2.37	-3.7%	WON
Total Goals 6+	4.11	4.03	-1.9%	LOST

Half Time / Full Time

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
HT/FT Home-Home	1.53	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Home-Draw	19.95	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Home-Away	36.50	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Draw-Home	4.47	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Draw-Draw	10.50	—	—	WON
HT/FT Draw-Away	20.20	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Away-Home	18.60	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Away-Draw	23.20	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Away-Away	14.85	—	—	LOST

Handicap

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
H1-2	1.52	—	—	—
H-0	4.23	—	—	—
H2-3	3.42	—	—	—

Other Markets

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
İ14	1.23	—	—	—
OLMAZ	27.50	—	—	—
İ25	3.44	—	—	—
1 ve ALT	5.90	—	—	—
0 ve ALT	10.05	—	—	—
2 ve ALT	28.00	—	—	—
1 ve ÜST	1.41	—	—	—
0 ve ÜST	13.40	—	—	—
2 ve ÜST	11.75	—	—	—

Settled Markets by Final Score

Match Result: X
First Half: X
u05: Over
Under/Over 1.5: Over
Under/Over 2.5: Over
Under/Over 3.5: Over
u45: Under
u55: Under
iy05: Over
HT 1.5: Over
iy25: Under
ev05: Over
ev15: Over
ev25: Under
ev35: Under
dep05: Over
dep15: Over
dep25: Under
dep35: Under
iyEv05: Over
iyEv15: Under
iyEv25: Under
iyDep05: Over
iyDep15: Under
iyDep25: Under
Both Teams To Score: Yes
iyKg: Yes
Double Chance 1-X: Yes
Double Chance 1-2: No
Double Chance X-2: Yes
iyCs1X: Yes
iyCs12: No
iyCsX2: Yes
Total Goals: 4-5
HT/FT: X/X
tekCift: Even
iyTekCift: Even

These values are derived only from the actual score; odds are not considered.

Ajax - Excelsior Statistics

Counts from archived matches with recorded results, from days before this match. Opening and closing records of the same match count as one match.

The match ended 2 - 2; half time 1 - 1. Market results are in the table above.

Ajax

Last 10 matches · Aug 6, 2026 – Sep 15, 2026

W-D-L: 7-2-1
Goals avg. (for/against): 3.3 / 1.5
Over 2.5: 9/10
BTTS Yes: 8/10

FormWWLWW

Excelsior

Last 10 matches · May 2, 2026 – Sep 13, 2026

W-D-L: 6-2-2
Goals avg. (for/against): 2.5 / 1.3
Over 2.5: 9/10
BTTS Yes: 8/10

FormLDWWL

Head-to-head history

3 meetings in the archive: Ajax 0, Excelsior 1 wins, 2 draws. 3.7 goals per match; over 2.5 3/3, BTTS yes 3/3.

Excelsior - AjaxFeb 1, 2026 · 2 - 2
Ajax - ExcelsiorNov 22, 2025 · 1 - 2
Ajax - ExcelsiorApr 24, 2024 · 2 - 2

Odds movement: 18 markets have both opening and closing odds. Shortened: 14, drifted: 3, unchanged: 1.

Past results do not determine the outcome of the next match; this section is an informational count.

Historical Odds Analysis

The detailed analysis showing how often this match's odds have landed in the past is for members only.

The opening/closing odds and match data above are public. Membership unlocks the hit statistics of past matches in the same odds band.

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