UEFA Nations LeagueEuropeFinished

France - Belgium

October 5, 2026 · 21:45 · UEFA Nations League

Home

France

4 - 1HT 0 - 1

Away

Belgium

What Do the Odds Say?

In France - Belgium, the side priced lower by the opening odds is France (1.40); the other side is 5.59, draw 4.15.

The probability implied by odds of 1.40 is 71.4%. This value includes the bookmaker margin, so it is not a pure probability estimate.

On goals, the opening odds price Over 2.5 lower (Under 2.5 2.33 · Over 2.5 1.42).

The market that moved most from opening to closing is Match Result: Away: 5.59 → 4.87 (-12.9%, shortened).

The match ended 4 - 1, half time 0 - 1.

The result went the same way as the opening odds, which priced France lower.

This summary is a plain description of the odds on this page; it is not a prediction or a recommendation. Odds are market prices and do not show how the match will end.

Match Details

Home: France
Away: Belgium
League: UEFA Nations League
Country: Europe
Date: Oct 5, 2026
Time: 21:45
Status: Finished
Markets: 44

Odds Movement (Opening → Closing)

Match Result: Away5.594.87-12.9%

HT Result: Away5.424.94-8.9%

Total Goals 0-15.054.73-6.3%

HT Result: Draw2.532.38-5.9%

HT Under 1.51.561.48-5.1%

Total Goals 2-32.031.93-4.9%

The change is the difference between the bulletin's opening odds and the closing odds. It is measured data, not a prediction.

Match Odds and Markets

1X2 (Match Result)

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Match Result: Home	1.40	1.37	-2.1%	WON
Match Result: Draw	4.15	4.10	-1.2%	LOST
Match Result: Away	5.59	4.87	-12.9%	LOST

Half Time

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
HT Result: Home	1.81	1.80	-0.6%	LOST
HT Result: Draw	2.53	2.38	-5.9%	LOST
HT Result: Away	5.42	4.94	-8.9%	WON
HT Under 1.5	1.56	1.48	-5.1%	WON
HT Over 1.5	2.05	2.00	-2.4%	LOST

Over / Under

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Under 1.5	—	4.71	—	LOST
Over 1.5	—	1.00	—	WON
Under 2.5	2.33	2.22	-4.7%	LOST
Over 2.5	1.42	1.37	-3.5%	WON
Under 3.5	1.50	1.43	-4.7%	LOST
Over 3.5	2.15	2.10	-2.3%	WON

Both Teams To Score

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Both Teams To Score: Yes	1.54	1.48	-3.9%	WON
Both Teams To Score: No	2.07	2.00	-3.4%	LOST

Double Chance

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Double Chance: Home or Draw	—	1.00	—	WON
Double Chance: Home or Away	—	1.08	—	WON
Double Chance: Draw or Away	—	2.16	—	LOST

Total Goals

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Total Goals 0-1	5.05	4.73	-6.3%	LOST
Total Goals 2-3	2.03	1.93	-4.9%	LOST
Total Goals 4-5	2.86	2.78	-2.8%	WON
Total Goals 6+	7.44	7.42	-0.3%	LOST

Half Time / Full Time

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
HT/FT Home-Home	1.95	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Home-Draw	15.10	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Home-Away	36.50	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Draw-Home	4.56	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Draw-Draw	6.73	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Draw-Away	12.90	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Away-Home	21.45	—	—	WON
HT/FT Away-Draw	17.15	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Away-Away	9.69	—	—	LOST

Handicap

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
H1-2	2.07	—	—	—
H-0	3.71	—	—	—
H2-3	2.30	—	—	—

Other Markets

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
İ14	1.37	—	—	—
OLMAZ	19.20	—	—	—
İ25	2.89	—	—	—
1 & Under	4.76	—	—	—
0 & Under	5.97	—	—	—
2 & Under	14.55	—	—	—
1 & Over	1.89	—	—	—
0 & Over	11.70	—	—	—
2 & Over	8.54	—	—	—

Settled Markets by Final Score

Match Result: 1
First Half: 2
u05: Over
Under/Over 1.5: Over
Under/Over 2.5: Over
Under/Over 3.5: Over
u45: Over
u55: Under
iy05: Over
HT 1.5: Under
iy25: Under
ev05: Over
ev15: Over
ev25: Over
ev35: Over
dep05: Over
dep15: Under
dep25: Under
dep35: Under
iyEv05: Under
iyEv15: Under
iyEv25: Under
iyDep05: Over
iyDep15: Under
iyDep25: Under
Both Teams To Score: Yes
iyKg: No
Double Chance 1-X: Yes
Double Chance 1-2: Yes
Double Chance X-2: No
iyCs1X: No
iyCs12: Yes
iyCsX2: Yes
Total Goals: 4-5
HT/FT: 2/1
tekCift: Odd
iyTekCift: Odd

These values are derived only from the actual score; odds are not considered.

France - Belgium Statistics

Counts from archived matches with recorded results, from days before this match. Opening and closing records of the same match count as one match.

The match ended 4 - 1; half time 0 - 1. Market results are in the table above.

France

Last 10 matches · Jun 23, 2026 – Oct 2, 2026

W-D-L: 7-1-2
Goals avg. (for/against): 2.0 / 1.0
Over 2.5: 4/10
BTTS Yes: 3/10

FormDWWLL

Belgium

Last 10 matches · Jun 6, 2026 – Oct 2, 2026

W-D-L: 5-3-2
Goals avg. (for/against): 2.3 / 0.8
Over 2.5: 6/10
BTTS Yes: 5/10

FormWLWLW

Head-to-head history

4 meetings in the archive: France 4, Belgium 0 wins, 0 draws. 1.8 goals per match; over 2.5 1/4, BTTS yes 1/4.

Belgium - FranceSep 28, 2026 · 0 - 1
Belgium - FranceOct 14, 2024 · 1 - 2
France - BelgiumSep 9, 2024 · 2 - 0
France - BelgiumJul 1, 2024 · 1 - 0

Odds movement: 18 markets have both opening and closing odds. Shortened: 18, drifted: 0, unchanged: 0.

Past results do not determine the outcome of the next match; this section is an informational count.

Historical Odds Analysis

The detailed analysis showing how often this match's odds have landed in the past is for members only.

The opening/closing odds and match data above are public. Membership unlocks the hit statistics of past matches in the same odds band.

Try Automatic Analysis View Memberships

Analysis Tools

UEFA Nations League — Other Matches

France and Belgium — Other Meetings

Belgium - FranceSep 28, 2026 · 0 - 1

Other Match Analyses