ChampionshipEnglandFinished

Burnley - Derby County

September 19, 2026 · 17:00 · Championship

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Burnley

1 - 1HT 1 - 0

Away

Derby County

What Do the Odds Say?

In Burnley - Derby County, the side priced lower by the opening odds is Burnley (1.70); the other side is 3.99, draw 3.40.

The probability implied by odds of 1.70 is 58.8%. This value includes the bookmaker margin, so it is not a pure probability estimate.

On goals, the opening odds price Over 2.5 lower (Under 2.5 1.80 · Over 2.5 1.74).

The market that moved most from opening to closing is Total Goals 6+: 13.85 → 11.90 (-14.1%, shortened).

The match ended 1 - 1, half time 1 - 0.

The match ended in a draw; the lower-priced side in the match result market did not win.

This summary is a plain description of the odds on this page; it is not a prediction or a recommendation. Odds are market prices and do not show how the match will end.

Match Details

Home: Burnley
Away: Derby County
League: Championship
Country: England
Date: Sep 19, 2026
Time: 17:00
Status: Finished
Markets: 44

Odds Movement (Opening → Closing)

Total Goals 6+13.8511.90-14.1%

Over 3.52.952.68-9.2%

Over 2.51.741.61-7.5%

Total Goals 4-53.593.32-7.5%

HT Over 1.52.542.36-7.1%

Both Teams To Score: Yes1.671.57-6.0%

The change is the difference between the bulletin's opening odds and the closing odds. It is measured data, not a prediction.

Match Odds and Markets

1X2 (Match Result)

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Match Result: Home	1.70	1.63	-4.1%	LOST
Match Result: Draw	3.40	3.34	-1.8%	WON
Match Result: Away	3.99	3.78	-5.3%	LOST

Half Time

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
HT Result: Home	2.26	2.15	-4.9%	WON
HT Result: Draw	2.15	2.10	-2.3%	LOST
HT Result: Away	4.50	4.24	-5.8%	LOST
HT Under 1.5	1.36	1.33	-2.2%	WON
HT Over 1.5	2.54	2.36	-7.1%	LOST

Over / Under

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Under 1.5	—	3.56	—	LOST
Over 1.5	—	1.11	—	WON
Under 2.5	1.80	1.79	-0.6%	WON
Over 2.5	1.74	1.61	-7.5%	LOST
Under 3.5	1.26	1.24	-1.6%	WON
Over 3.5	2.95	2.68	-9.2%	LOST

Both Teams To Score

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Both Teams To Score: Yes	1.67	1.57	-6.0%	WON
Both Teams To Score: No	1.87	1.86	-0.5%	LOST

Double Chance

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Double Chance: Home or Draw	—	1.10	—	WON
Double Chance: Home or Away	—	1.15	—	LOST
Double Chance: Draw or Away	—	1.74	—	WON

Total Goals

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Total Goals 0-1	3.46	3.52	+1.7%	LOST
Total Goals 2-3	1.87	1.81	-3.2%	WON
Total Goals 4-5	3.59	3.32	-7.5%	LOST
Total Goals 6+	13.85	11.90	-14.1%	LOST

Half Time / Full Time

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
HT/FT Home-Home	2.56	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Home-Draw	14.20	—	—	WON
HT/FT Home-Away	36.50	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Draw-Home	4.69	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Draw-Draw	5.13	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Draw-Away	8.95	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Away-Home	25.00	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Away-Draw	15.50	—	—	LOST
HT/FT Away-Away	6.94	—	—	LOST

Handicap

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
H1-2	2.91	—	—	—
H-0	3.54	—	—	—
H2-3	1.78	—	—	—

Other Markets

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
İ14	1.54	—	—	—
OLMAZ	12.00	—	—	—
İ25	2.51	—	—	—
1 & Under	4.26	—	—	—
0 & Under	4.37	—	—	—
2 & Under	8.67	—	—	—
1 & Over	2.68	—	—	—
0 & Over	12.80	—	—	—
2 & Over	6.91	—	—	—

Settled Markets by Final Score

Match Result: X
First Half: 1
u05: Over
Under/Over 1.5: Over
Under/Over 2.5: Under
Under/Over 3.5: Under
u45: Under
u55: Under
iy05: Over
HT 1.5: Under
iy25: Under
ev05: Over
ev15: Under
ev25: Under
ev35: Under
dep05: Over
dep15: Under
dep25: Under
dep35: Under
iyEv05: Over
iyEv15: Under
iyEv25: Under
iyDep05: Under
iyDep15: Under
iyDep25: Under
Both Teams To Score: Yes
iyKg: No
Double Chance 1-X: Yes
Double Chance 1-2: No
Double Chance X-2: Yes
iyCs1X: Yes
iyCs12: Yes
iyCsX2: No
Total Goals: 2-3
HT/FT: 1/X
tekCift: Even
iyTekCift: Odd

These values are derived only from the actual score; odds are not considered.

Burnley - Derby County Statistics

Counts from archived matches with recorded results, from days before this match. Opening and closing records of the same match count as one match.

The match ended 1 - 1; half time 1 - 0. Market results are in the table above.

Burnley

Last 10 matches · Aug 2, 2026 – Sep 12, 2026

W-D-L: 0-5-5
Goals avg. (for/against): 0.9 / 1.8
Over 2.5: 5/10
BTTS Yes: 8/10

FormLDLDL

Derby County

Last 10 matches · Aug 1, 2026 – Sep 12, 2026

W-D-L: 1-2-7
Goals avg. (for/against): 0.8 / 1.7
Over 2.5: 6/10
BTTS Yes: 5/10

FormLLLWL

Head-to-head history

3 meetings in the archive: Burnley 1, Derby County 0 wins, 2 draws. 1.0 goals per match; over 2.5 1/3, BTTS yes 1/3.

Burnley - Derby CountyAug 26, 2025 · 2 - 1
Derby County - BurnleyApr 8, 2025 · 0 - 0
Burnley - Derby CountyDec 10, 2024 · 0 - 0

Odds movement: 18 markets have both opening and closing odds. Shortened: 17, drifted: 1, unchanged: 0.

Past results do not determine the outcome of the next match; this section is an informational count.

Historical Odds Analysis

The detailed analysis showing how often this match's odds have landed in the past is for members only.

The opening/closing odds and match data above are public. Membership unlocks the hit statistics of past matches in the same odds band.

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