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Nacional - Defensor Sporting

September 20, 2026 · 22:30 · Premier Lig

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Nacional

3 - 2HT 0 - 1

Away

Defensor Sporting

What Do the Odds Say?

In Nacional - Defensor Sporting, the side priced lower by the opening odds is Nacional (1.51); the other side is 4.71, draw 3.43.

The probability implied by odds of 1.51 is 66.2%. This value includes the bookmaker margin, so it is not a pure probability estimate.

On goals, the opening odds price Under 2.5 lower (Under 2.5 1.63 · Over 2.5 1.81).

The market that moved most from opening to closing is Match Result: Away: 4.71 → 4.25 (-9.8%, shortened).

The match ended 3 - 2, half time 0 - 1.

The result went the same way as the opening odds, which priced Nacional lower.

This summary is a plain description of the odds on this page; it is not a prediction or a recommendation. Odds are market prices and do not show how the match will end.

Match Details

Home: Nacional
Away: Defensor Sporting
League: Premier Lig
Country: Uruguay
Date: Sep 20, 2026
Time: 22:30
Status: Finished
Markets: 12

Odds Movement (Opening → Closing)

Match Result: Away4.714.25-9.8%

HT Result: Away5.204.80-7.7%

Match Result: Draw3.433.19-7.0%

Under 2.51.631.52-6.7%

HT Result: Draw2.071.94-6.3%

Both Teams To Score: No1.631.56-4.3%

The change is the difference between the bulletin's opening odds and the closing odds. It is measured data, not a prediction.

Match Odds and Markets

1X2 (Match Result)

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Match Result: Home	1.51	1.51	0.0%	WON
Match Result: Draw	3.43	3.19	-7.0%	LOST
Match Result: Away	4.71	4.25	-9.8%	LOST

Half Time

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
HT Result: Home	2.04	2.05	+0.5%	LOST
HT Result: Draw	2.07	1.94	-6.3%	LOST
HT Result: Away	5.20	4.80	-7.7%	WON
HT Under 1.5	1.28	1.23	-3.9%	WON
HT Over 1.5	2.59	2.50	-3.5%	LOST

Over / Under

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Under 2.5	1.63	1.52	-6.7%	LOST
Over 2.5	1.81	1.80	-0.6%	WON

Both Teams To Score

Market	Opening	Closing	Change	Result
Both Teams To Score: Yes	1.81	1.76	-2.8%	WON
Both Teams To Score: No	1.63	1.56	-4.3%	LOST

Settled Markets by Final Score

Match Result: 1
First Half: 2
u05: Over
Under/Over 1.5: Over
Under/Over 2.5: Over
Under/Over 3.5: Over
u45: Over
u55: Under
iy05: Over
HT 1.5: Under
iy25: Under
ev05: Over
ev15: Over
ev25: Over
ev35: Under
dep05: Over
dep15: Over
dep25: Under
dep35: Under
iyEv05: Under
iyEv15: Under
iyEv25: Under
iyDep05: Over
iyDep15: Under
iyDep25: Under
Both Teams To Score: Yes
iyKg: No
Double Chance 1-X: Yes
Double Chance 1-2: Yes
Double Chance X-2: No
iyCs1X: No
iyCs12: Yes
iyCsX2: Yes
Total Goals: 4-5
HT/FT: 2/1
tekCift: Odd
iyTekCift: Odd

These values are derived only from the actual score; odds are not considered.

Nacional - Defensor Sporting Statistics

Counts from archived matches with recorded results, from days before this match. Opening and closing records of the same match count as one match.

The match ended 3 - 2; half time 0 - 1. Market results are in the table above.

Nacional

Last 10 matches · Jul 18, 2026 – Sep 12, 2026

W-D-L: 4-2-4
Goals avg. (for/against): 1.1 / 1.4
Over 2.5: 6/10
BTTS Yes: 6/10

FormDDWWL

Defensor Sporting

Last 10 matches · May 30, 2026 – Sep 14, 2026

W-D-L: 2-5-3
Goals avg. (for/against): 0.8 / 1.3
Over 2.5: 3/10
BTTS Yes: 6/10

FormWDLDL

Head-to-head history

4 meetings in the archive: Nacional 1, Defensor Sporting 1 wins, 2 draws. 3.5 goals per match; over 2.5 3/4, BTTS yes 4/4.

Defensor Sporting - NacionalMar 21, 2026 · 2 - 1
Nacional - Defensor SportingMay 18, 2025 · 2 - 1
Nacional - Defensor SportingSep 22, 2024 · 1 - 1
Defensor Sporting - NacionalMar 11, 2024 · 3 - 3

Odds movement: 12 markets have both opening and closing odds. Shortened: 10, drifted: 1, unchanged: 1.

Past results do not determine the outcome of the next match; this section is an informational count.

Historical Odds Analysis

The detailed analysis showing how often this match's odds have landed in the past is for members only.

The opening/closing odds and match data above are public. Membership unlocks the hit statistics of past matches in the same odds band.

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