Half Time odds · Over / Under 2.5 distribution
Over / Under 2.5 by HT Result: Home Odds
In 105,340 settled matches with HT Result: Home opening odds, the most common outcome was OVER — 51.4% (54,174 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 47.5% and 75.8%.
Half-time odds are higher than full-time odds, because fewer goals are scored in a shorter period and the chance of a draw rises noticeably.
105,340
Settled matches
sample
51.4%
Most common: OVER
54,174 matches
28.3 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
2.65
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
Over / Under 2.5 — overall distribution
How the Over / Under 2.5 outcome was distributed across all settled matches with HT Result: Home opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
OVER
51.4%
54,174 matches
UNDER
48.6%
51,166 matches
Over / Under 2.5 by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their HT Result: Home opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| HT Result: Home opening odds | Matches | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 587 | 75.8%(445) | 24.2%(142) |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 2,168 | 69%(1,496) | 31%(672) |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 5,916 | 61.9%(3,661) | 38.1%(2,255) |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 9,590 | 58%(5,560) | 42%(4,030) |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 26,137 | 51.1%(13,350) | 48.9%(12,787) |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 40,385 | 47.5%(19,177) | 52.5%(21,208) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 15,238 | 49.1%(7,487) | 50.9%(7,751) |
| 5.00 and above | 5,319 | 56.4%(2,998) | 43.6%(2,321) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Over / Under 2.5 in the past while the HT Result: Home opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose HT Result: Home opening odds fall within a given range and see their Over / Under 2.5 distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can Over / Under 2.5 be predicted from HT Result: Home odds?
A trend is measurable across 105,340 matches in the archive: with HT Result: Home opening odds in the 1.00–1.30 range, OVER landed 75.8% of the time; with odds in the 2.50–3.50 range, this fell to 47.5%. The 28.3-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does Over / Under 2.5 mean?
The over/under 2.5 market checks whether the total number of goals in the match stays below or goes above 2.5. 3 or more goals is over.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with HT Result: Home opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Over / Under 2.5 outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 108,213 matches with HT Result: Home opening odds, the Over / Under 2.5 outcome could be calculated for 105,340. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.