Total Goals odds · Over / Under 3.5 distribution
Over / Under 3.5 by Total Goals 0-1 Odds
In 72,931 settled matches with Total Goals 0-1 opening odds, the most common outcome was UNDER — 70.4% (51,354 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 53.3% and 90.1%.
Range markets are narrower than over/under markets, so their odds also open higher.
72,931
Settled matches
sample
70.4%
Most common: UNDER
51,354 matches
36.8 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
3.51
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
Over / Under 3.5 — overall distribution
How the Over / Under 3.5 outcome was distributed across all settled matches with Total Goals 0-1 opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
OVER
29.6%
21,577 matches
UNDER
70.4%
51,354 matches
Over / Under 3.5 by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their Total Goals 0-1 opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| Total Goals 0-1 opening odds | Matches | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 0 | — | — |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 0 | — | — |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 31 | — | — |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 515 | 9.9%(51) | 90.1%(464) |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 6,297 | 16.9%(1,064) | 83.1%(5,233) |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 29,277 | 24.2%(7,078) | 75.8%(22,199) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 28,483 | 33.3%(9,496) | 66.7%(18,987) |
| 5.00 and above | 8,328 | 46.7%(3,887) | 53.3%(4,441) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Over / Under 3.5 in the past while the Total Goals 0-1 opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose Total Goals 0-1 opening odds fall within a given range and see their Over / Under 3.5 distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can Over / Under 3.5 be predicted from Total Goals 0-1 odds?
A trend is measurable across 72,931 matches in the archive: with Total Goals 0-1 opening odds in the 1.75–2.00 range, UNDER landed 90.1% of the time; with odds in the 5.00+ range, this fell to 53.3%. The 36.8-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does Over / Under 3.5 mean?
The over/under 3.5 market checks whether the total number of goals in the match stays below or goes above 3.5. 4 or more goals is over.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with Total Goals 0-1 opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Over / Under 3.5 outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 74,561 matches with Total Goals 0-1 opening odds, the Over / Under 3.5 outcome could be calculated for 72,931. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.