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Half Time odds · Over / Under 3.5 distribution

Over / Under 3.5 by HT Result: Away Odds

In 105,350 settled matches with HT Result: Away opening odds, the most common outcome was UNDER — 70.3% (74,049 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 42.1% and 72.9%.

Half-time odds are higher than full-time odds, because fewer goals are scored in a shorter period and the chance of a draw rises noticeably.

105,350

Settled matches

sample

70.3%

Most common: UNDER

74,049 matches

30.8 pts

Spread between bands

highest − lowest

3.58

Median opening odds

2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09

Over / Under 3.5 — overall distribution

How the Over / Under 3.5 outcome was distributed across all settled matches with HT Result: Away opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.

OVER

29.7%

31,301 matches

UNDER

70.3%

74,049 matches

Over / Under 3.5 by opening odds band

Each row counts how matches actually ended when their HT Result: Away opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.

HT Result: Away opening oddsMatchesOVERUNDER
1.00 – 1.3024257.9%(140)42.1%(102)
1.30 – 1.5063245.3%(286)54.7%(346)
1.50 – 1.751,75139%(683)61%(1,068)
1.75 – 2.003,30934.2%(1,131)65.8%(2,178)
2.00 – 2.5010,58131.9%(3,377)68.1%(7,204)
2.50 – 3.5033,36328.2%(9,419)71.8%(23,944)
3.50 – 5.0036,12327.1%(9,794)72.9%(26,329)
5.00 and above19,34933.4%(6,471)66.6%(12,878)

What this number tells you — and what it doesn't

  • It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Over / Under 3.5 in the past while the HT Result: Away opening odds sat inside a given band.
  • It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
  • It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
  • Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
  • Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
  • A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.

Look for this relationship in today's matches

The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose HT Result: Away opening odds fall within a given range and see their Over / Under 3.5 distribution live, use the analysis tools.

Frequently asked questions

Can Over / Under 3.5 be predicted from HT Result: Away odds?

A trend is measurable across 105,350 matches in the archive: with HT Result: Away opening odds in the 3.50–5.00 range, UNDER landed 72.9% of the time; with odds in the 1.00–1.30 range, this fell to 42.1%. The 30.8-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.

What does Over / Under 3.5 mean?

The over/under 3.5 market checks whether the total number of goals in the match stays below or goes above 3.5. 4 or more goals is over.

How is the distribution on this page calculated?

Matches with HT Result: Away opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Over / Under 3.5 outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.

How many matches is this measured on?

Of the 108,228 matches with HT Result: Away opening odds, the Over / Under 3.5 outcome could be calculated for 105,350. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.

Does it also apply to closing odds?

No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.

How HT Result: Away odds relate to other markets

Ask the same question for other odds in the Half Time group