Half Time / Full Time odds · Over / Under 1.5 distribution
Over / Under 1.5 by HT/FT Home-Home Odds
In 42,309 settled matches with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds, the most common outcome was OVER — 75.7% (32,036 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 73.5% and 90.6%.
Because it combines two conditions, it is among the highest-odds markets on the coupon; the sample is naturally narrower too.
42,309
Settled matches
sample
75.7%
Most common: OVER
32,036 matches
17.1 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
3.25
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
Over / Under 1.5 — overall distribution
How the Over / Under 1.5 outcome was distributed across all settled matches with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
OVER
75.7%
32,036 matches
UNDER
24.3%
10,273 matches
Over / Under 1.5 by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their HT/FT Home-Home opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| HT/FT Home-Home opening odds | Matches | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 202 | 90.6%(183) | 9.4%(19) |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 718 | 85.8%(616) | 14.2%(102) |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 1,479 | 84.3%(1,247) | 15.7%(232) |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 2,229 | 81%(1,806) | 19%(423) |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 6,179 | 77.7%(4,798) | 22.3%(1,381) |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 13,417 | 74.3%(9,972) | 25.7%(3,445) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 10,684 | 73.5%(7,858) | 26.5%(2,826) |
| 5.00 and above | 7,401 | 75.1%(5,556) | 24.9%(1,845) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Over / Under 1.5 in the past while the HT/FT Home-Home opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose HT/FT Home-Home opening odds fall within a given range and see their Over / Under 1.5 distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can Over / Under 1.5 be predicted from HT/FT Home-Home odds?
A trend is measurable across 42,309 matches in the archive: with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds in the 1.00–1.30 range, OVER landed 90.6% of the time; with odds in the 3.50–5.00 range, this fell to 73.5%. The 17.1-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does Over / Under 1.5 mean?
The over/under 1.5 market checks whether the total number of goals in the match stays below or goes above 1.5. 2 or more goals is over.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Over / Under 1.5 outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 43,186 matches with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds, the Over / Under 1.5 outcome could be calculated for 42,309. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.