Half Time / Full Time odds · HT Over / Under 1.5 distribution
HT Over / Under 1.5 by HT/FT Home-Home Odds
In 42,292 settled matches with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds, the most common outcome was UNDER — 65.1% (27,552 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 38.6% and 67.8%.
Because it combines two conditions, it is among the highest-odds markets on the coupon; the sample is naturally narrower too.
42,292
Settled matches
sample
65.1%
Most common: UNDER
27,552 matches
29.2 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
3.25
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
HT Over / Under 1.5 — overall distribution
How the HT Over / Under 1.5 outcome was distributed across all settled matches with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
OVER
34.9%
14,740 matches
UNDER
65.1%
27,552 matches
HT Over / Under 1.5 by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their HT/FT Home-Home opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| HT/FT Home-Home opening odds | Matches | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 202 | 61.4%(124) | 38.6%(78) |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 718 | 46.2%(332) | 53.8%(386) |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 1,479 | 42.4%(627) | 57.6%(852) |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 2,229 | 41%(914) | 59%(1,315) |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 6,175 | 36.1%(2,229) | 63.9%(3,946) |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 13,410 | 33.8%(4,539) | 66.2%(8,871) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 10,680 | 32.2%(3,438) | 67.8%(7,242) |
| 5.00 and above | 7,399 | 34.3%(2,537) | 65.7%(4,862) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of HT Over / Under 1.5 in the past while the HT/FT Home-Home opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose HT/FT Home-Home opening odds fall within a given range and see their HT Over / Under 1.5 distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can HT Over / Under 1.5 be predicted from HT/FT Home-Home odds?
A trend is measurable across 42,292 matches in the archive: with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds in the 3.50–5.00 range, UNDER landed 67.8% of the time; with odds in the 1.00–1.30 range, this fell to 38.6%. The 29.2-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does HT Over / Under 1.5 mean?
The first-half over/under 1.5 market only looks at the total goals scored in the first half. 2 or more goals is over.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the HT Over / Under 1.5 outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 43,186 matches with HT/FT Home-Home opening odds, the HT Over / Under 1.5 outcome could be calculated for 42,292. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.