1X2 (Match Result) odds · Half-Time Result distribution
Half-Time Result by Match Result: Draw Odds
In 114,886 settled matches with Match Result: Draw opening odds, the most common outcome was HT X — 41.1% (47,173 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 28.4% and 56.1%.
Match result odds are shaped by the strength gap between the two teams and home advantage. The wider the gap, the lower the favourite's odds.
114,886
Settled matches
sample
41.1%
Most common: HT X
47,173 matches
27.7 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
3.29
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
Half-Time Result — overall distribution
How the Half-Time Result outcome was distributed across all settled matches with Match Result: Draw opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
HT 1
33.5%
38,509 matches
HT X
41.1%
47,173 matches
HT 2
25.4%
29,204 matches
Half-Time Result by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their Match Result: Draw opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| Match Result: Draw opening odds | Matches | HT 1 | HT X | HT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 1 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 686 | 23.6%(162) | 56.1%(385) | 20.3%(139) |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 74,859 | 30.3%(22,715) | 43.9%(32,853) | 25.8%(19,291) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 32,645 | 38%(12,396) | 36.9%(12,032) | 25.2%(8,217) |
| 5.00 and above | 6,693 | 48.3%(3,234) | 28.4%(1,902) | 23.3%(1,557) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Half-Time Result in the past while the Match Result: Draw opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose Match Result: Draw opening odds fall within a given range and see their Half-Time Result distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can Half-Time Result be predicted from Match Result: Draw odds?
A trend is measurable across 114,886 matches in the archive: with Match Result: Draw opening odds in the 2.00–2.50 range, HT X landed 56.1% of the time; with odds in the 5.00+ range, this fell to 28.4%. The 27.7-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does Half-Time Result mean?
The half-time result market only looks at the result of the first 45 minutes (plus stoppage time); the rest of the match does not count.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with Match Result: Draw opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Half-Time Result outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 118,362 matches with Match Result: Draw opening odds, the Half-Time Result outcome could be calculated for 114,886. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.