1X2 (Match Result) odds · Half-Time Result distribution
Half-Time Result by Match Result: Away Odds
In 114,391 settled matches with Match Result: Away opening odds, the most common outcome was HT X — 41.1% (47,051 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 33% and 43.7%.
Match result odds are shaped by the strength gap between the two teams and home advantage. The wider the gap, the lower the favourite's odds.
114,391
Settled matches
sample
41.1%
Most common: HT X
47,051 matches
10.7 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
2.92
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
Half-Time Result — overall distribution
How the Half-Time Result outcome was distributed across all settled matches with Match Result: Away opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
HT 1
33.6%
38,486 matches
HT X
41.1%
47,051 matches
HT 2
25.2%
28,854 matches
Half-Time Result by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their Match Result: Away opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| Match Result: Away opening odds | Matches | HT 1 | HT X | HT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 2,394 | 11.7%(281) | 33%(791) | 55.2%(1,322) |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 3,709 | 16%(593) | 39.2%(1,454) | 44.8%(1,662) |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 6,333 | 20.5%(1,298) | 40%(2,532) | 39.5%(2,503) |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 8,143 | 24.1%(1,964) | 42.1%(3,430) | 33.8%(2,749) |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 19,668 | 27%(5,317) | 42.6%(8,375) | 30.4%(5,976) |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 34,762 | 32.5%(11,297) | 43.7%(15,205) | 23.8%(8,260) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 22,667 | 39.2%(8,893) | 41.9%(9,492) | 18.9%(4,282) |
| 5.00 and above | 16,715 | 52.9%(8,843) | 34.5%(5,772) | 12.6%(2,100) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Half-Time Result in the past while the Match Result: Away opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose Match Result: Away opening odds fall within a given range and see their Half-Time Result distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can Half-Time Result be predicted from Match Result: Away odds?
A trend is measurable across 114,391 matches in the archive: with Match Result: Away opening odds in the 2.50–3.50 range, HT X landed 43.7% of the time; with odds in the 1.00–1.30 range, this fell to 33%. The 10.7-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does Half-Time Result mean?
The half-time result market only looks at the result of the first 45 minutes (plus stoppage time); the rest of the match does not count.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with Match Result: Away opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Half-Time Result outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 117,860 matches with Match Result: Away opening odds, the Half-Time Result outcome could be calculated for 114,391. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.