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Total Goals odds · Half-Time Result distribution

Half-Time Result by Total Goals 2-3 Odds

In 72,920 settled matches with Total Goals 2-3 opening odds, the most common outcome was HT X — 41.2% (30,026 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 21% and 42.7%.

Range markets are narrower than over/under markets, so their odds also open higher.

72,920

Settled matches

sample

41.2%

Most common: HT X

30,026 matches

21.7 pts

Spread between bands

highest − lowest

1.91

Median opening odds

2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09

Half-Time Result — overall distribution

How the Half-Time Result outcome was distributed across all settled matches with Total Goals 2-3 opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.

HT 1

33.5%

24,432 matches

HT X

41.2%

30,026 matches

HT 2

25.3%

18,462 matches

Half-Time Result by opening odds band

Each row counts how matches actually ended when their Total Goals 2-3 opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.

Total Goals 2-3 opening oddsMatchesHT 1HT XHT 2
1.00 – 1.300———
1.30 – 1.500———
1.50 – 1.750———
1.75 – 2.0060,34632.2%(19,451)42.7%(25,758)25.1%(15,137)
2.00 – 2.5012,07639%(4,712)34.5%(4,165)26.5%(3,199)
2.50 – 3.5044754.4%(243)21%(94)24.6%(110)
3.50 – 5.0032———
5.00 and above19———

What this number tells you — and what it doesn't

  • It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Half-Time Result in the past while the Total Goals 2-3 opening odds sat inside a given band.
  • It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
  • It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
  • Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
  • Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
  • A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.

Look for this relationship in today's matches

The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose Total Goals 2-3 opening odds fall within a given range and see their Half-Time Result distribution live, use the analysis tools.

Frequently asked questions

Can Half-Time Result be predicted from Total Goals 2-3 odds?

A trend is measurable across 72,920 matches in the archive: with Total Goals 2-3 opening odds in the 1.75–2.00 range, HT X landed 42.7% of the time; with odds in the 2.50–3.50 range, this fell to 21%. The 21.7-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.

What does Half-Time Result mean?

The half-time result market only looks at the result of the first 45 minutes (plus stoppage time); the rest of the match does not count.

How is the distribution on this page calculated?

Matches with Total Goals 2-3 opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Half-Time Result outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.

How many matches is this measured on?

Of the 74,577 matches with Total Goals 2-3 opening odds, the Half-Time Result outcome could be calculated for 72,920. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.

Does it also apply to closing odds?

No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.

How Total Goals 2-3 odds relate to other markets

Ask the same question for other odds in the Total Goals group