Total Goals odds · Half-Time Result distribution
Half-Time Result by Total Goals 6+ Odds
In 72,919 settled matches with Total Goals 6+ opening odds, the most common outcome was HT X — 41.2% (30,028 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 14.6% and 41.5%.
Range markets are narrower than over/under markets, so their odds also open higher.
72,919
Settled matches
sample
41.2%
Most common: HT X
30,028 matches
26.9 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
13.75
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
Half-Time Result — overall distribution
How the Half-Time Result outcome was distributed across all settled matches with Total Goals 6+ opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
HT 1
33.5%
24,430 matches
HT X
41.2%
30,028 matches
HT 2
25.3%
18,461 matches
Half-Time Result by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their Total Goals 6+ opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| Total Goals 6+ opening odds | Matches | HT 1 | HT X | HT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 2 | — | — | — |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 4 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 10 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 6 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 34 | — | — | — |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 171 | 59.1%(101) | 14.6%(25) | 26.3%(45) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 1,172 | 50.3%(590) | 24.8%(291) | 24.8%(291) |
| 5.00 and above | 71,520 | 33.2%(23,712) | 41.5%(29,701) | 25.3%(18,107) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Half-Time Result in the past while the Total Goals 6+ opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose Total Goals 6+ opening odds fall within a given range and see their Half-Time Result distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can Half-Time Result be predicted from Total Goals 6+ odds?
A trend is measurable across 72,919 matches in the archive: with Total Goals 6+ opening odds in the 5.00+ range, HT X landed 41.5% of the time; with odds in the 2.50–3.50 range, this fell to 14.6%. The 26.9-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does Half-Time Result mean?
The half-time result market only looks at the result of the first 45 minutes (plus stoppage time); the rest of the match does not count.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with Total Goals 6+ opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Half-Time Result outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 74,583 matches with Total Goals 6+ opening odds, the Half-Time Result outcome could be calculated for 72,919. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.