Total Goals odds · Half-Time Result distribution
Half-Time Result by Total Goals 4-5 Odds
In 72,922 settled matches with Total Goals 4-5 opening odds, the most common outcome was HT X — 41.2% (30,028 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 23.4% and 50.5%.
Range markets are narrower than over/under markets, so their odds also open higher.
72,922
Settled matches
sample
41.2%
Most common: HT X
30,028 matches
27.1 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
3.61
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
Half-Time Result — overall distribution
How the Half-Time Result outcome was distributed across all settled matches with Total Goals 4-5 opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
HT 1
33.5%
24,431 matches
HT X
41.2%
30,028 matches
HT 2
25.3%
18,463 matches
Half-Time Result by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their Total Goals 4-5 opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| Total Goals 4-5 opening odds | Matches | HT 1 | HT X | HT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 955 | 50.4%(481) | 23.4%(223) | 26.3%(251) |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 31,550 | 36.3%(11,446) | 37.3%(11,758) | 26.5%(8,346) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 32,751 | 31.6%(10,359) | 43.3%(14,173) | 25.1%(8,219) |
| 5.00 and above | 7,666 | 28%(2,145) | 50.5%(3,874) | 21.5%(1,647) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Half-Time Result in the past while the Total Goals 4-5 opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose Total Goals 4-5 opening odds fall within a given range and see their Half-Time Result distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can Half-Time Result be predicted from Total Goals 4-5 odds?
A trend is measurable across 72,922 matches in the archive: with Total Goals 4-5 opening odds in the 5.00+ range, HT X landed 50.5% of the time; with odds in the 2.00–2.50 range, this fell to 23.4%. The 27.1-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does Half-Time Result mean?
The half-time result market only looks at the result of the first 45 minutes (plus stoppage time); the rest of the match does not count.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with Total Goals 4-5 opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Half-Time Result outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 74,586 matches with Total Goals 4-5 opening odds, the Half-Time Result outcome could be calculated for 72,922. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.