Total Goals · Opening odds
Total Goals 4-5 Odds Analysis
The total goals range market predicts which range the number of goals in the match falls into. In our archive of 72,953 settled matches, Total Goals 4-5 landed 23.5% of the time (17,116 matches).
Range markets are narrower than over/under markets, so their odds also open higher.
72,953
Settled matches
sample
23.5%
Hit rate
17,116 matches
3.61
Median opening odds
found in the data
2024
Archive range
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
Hit rate by opening odds
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their opening odds fell in that band. The sample next to each percentage shows how many matches it was calculated from — no percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 50 matches.
| Opening odds | Settled matches | Total Goals 4-5 landed | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 0 | 0 | insufficient sample |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 0 | 0 | insufficient sample |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 0 | 0 | insufficient sample |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 0 | 0 | insufficient sample |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 955 | 358 | 37.5% |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 31,569 | 8,800 | 27.9% |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 32,763 | 6,825 | 20.8% |
| 5.00 and above | 7,666 | 1,133 | 14.8% |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how often this outcome happened in the past while the opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- Only the opening odds are used; closing odds are not part of this page. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored — when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- Of the 74,586 matches with odds, an outcome could be calculated for 72,953; the rest are matches whose score has not arrived yet and they are not counted in the denominator.
Look for these odds in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches for those whose Total Goals 4-5 opening odds fall within a given range, use the analysis tool.
Open the Opening Odds Analysis toolFrequently asked questions
What does Total Goals 4-5 mean?
The total goals range market predicts which range the number of goals in the match falls into.
How often has Total Goals 4-5 landed in the past?
In the 72,953 settled matches in our archive, Total Goals 4-5 landed 17,116 times — that is 23.5%. This is not a prediction; it is a count of past matches.
How well do opening odds anticipate the Total Goals 4-5 outcome?
With opening odds between 2.00 and 2.50, Total Goals 4-5 landed 37.5% of the time (955 matches); when the odds were 5.00 or higher, this fell to 14.8% (7,666 matches). In other words, lower odds point to an outcome that happens more often.
What data are the figures on this page based on?
On the opening odds and actual scores of matches played between 2024-01-01 and 2026-10-09. Outcomes are not stored; they are recalculated from the score each time, so if a score is corrected the statistics are corrected too.
What do Total Goals 4-5 odds say about other outcomes?
The table above counts the Total Goals 4-5 outcome itself. The pages below answer a different question: how matches ended in other markets while the Total Goals 4-5 opening odds were in a given band — each one across the entire archive.