1X2 (Match Result) odds · Over / Under 3.5 distribution
Over / Under 3.5 by Match Result: Away Odds
In 114,468 settled matches with Match Result: Away opening odds, the most common outcome was UNDER — 70.1% (80,212 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 60.7% and 73.1%.
Match result odds are shaped by the strength gap between the two teams and home advantage. The wider the gap, the lower the favourite's odds.
114,468
Settled matches
sample
70.1%
Most common: UNDER
80,212 matches
12.4 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
2.92
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
Over / Under 3.5 — overall distribution
How the Over / Under 3.5 outcome was distributed across all settled matches with Match Result: Away opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
OVER
29.9%
34,256 matches
UNDER
70.1%
80,212 matches
Over / Under 3.5 by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their Match Result: Away opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| Match Result: Away opening odds | Matches | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 2,395 | 39.3%(941) | 60.7%(1,454) |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 3,712 | 33.5%(1,242) | 66.5%(2,470) |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 6,338 | 32.5%(2,057) | 67.5%(4,281) |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 8,146 | 29.8%(2,425) | 70.2%(5,721) |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 19,686 | 28%(5,510) | 72%(14,176) |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 34,786 | 26.9%(9,364) | 73.1%(25,422) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 22,682 | 29%(6,584) | 71%(16,098) |
| 5.00 and above | 16,723 | 36.7%(6,133) | 63.3%(10,590) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of Over / Under 3.5 in the past while the Match Result: Away opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose Match Result: Away opening odds fall within a given range and see their Over / Under 3.5 distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can Over / Under 3.5 be predicted from Match Result: Away odds?
A trend is measurable across 114,468 matches in the archive: with Match Result: Away opening odds in the 2.50–3.50 range, UNDER landed 73.1% of the time; with odds in the 1.00–1.30 range, this fell to 60.7%. The 12.4-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does Over / Under 3.5 mean?
The over/under 3.5 market checks whether the total number of goals in the match stays below or goes above 3.5. 4 or more goals is over.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with Match Result: Away opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the Over / Under 3.5 outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 117,860 matches with Match Result: Away opening odds, the Over / Under 3.5 outcome could be calculated for 114,468. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.