1X2 (Match Result) odds · HT Over / Under 1.5 distribution
HT Over / Under 1.5 by Match Result: Away Odds
In 114,391 settled matches with Match Result: Away opening odds, the most common outcome was UNDER — 65.5% (74,919 matches). Depending on the odds band, this rate ranges between 58.6% and 67.7%.
Match result odds are shaped by the strength gap between the two teams and home advantage. The wider the gap, the lower the favourite's odds.
114,391
Settled matches
sample
65.5%
Most common: UNDER
74,919 matches
9.1 pts
Spread between bands
highest − lowest
2.92
Median opening odds
2024-01-01 → 2026-10-09
HT Over / Under 1.5 — overall distribution
How the HT Over / Under 1.5 outcome was distributed across all settled matches with Match Result: Away opening odds. This is the baseline distribution independent of the odds band; the band rates in the next table should be compared against it.
OVER
34.5%
39,472 matches
UNDER
65.5%
74,919 matches
HT Over / Under 1.5 by opening odds band
Each row counts how matches actually ended when their Match Result: Away opening odds fell in that band. No percentage is shown for a band with fewer than 100 matches.
| Match Result: Away opening odds | Matches | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 – 1.30 | 2,394 | 41.4%(992) | 58.6%(1,402) |
| 1.30 – 1.50 | 3,709 | 36.9%(1,369) | 63.1%(2,340) |
| 1.50 – 1.75 | 6,333 | 36.5%(2,311) | 63.5%(4,022) |
| 1.75 – 2.00 | 8,143 | 34.4%(2,800) | 65.6%(5,343) |
| 2.00 – 2.50 | 19,668 | 33%(6,491) | 67%(13,177) |
| 2.50 – 3.50 | 34,762 | 32.3%(11,230) | 67.7%(23,532) |
| 3.50 – 5.00 | 22,667 | 33.6%(7,627) | 66.4%(15,040) |
| 5.00 and above | 16,715 | 39.8%(6,652) | 60.2%(10,063) |
What this number tells you — and what it doesn't
- It tells you: how matches ended in terms of HT Over / Under 1.5 in the past while the Match Result: Away opening odds sat inside a given band.
- It doesn't tell you: what will happen in the next match. It is a count of past matches, not a prediction, and it carries no guarantee of winnings.
- It doesn't establish causation: what is measured between odds and outcome is how often they occur together. The odds do not produce the outcome; they summarise the market's expectation for that match.
- Only the opening odds are used. For the closing side, see Closing Odds Analysis.
- Outcomes are derived from the score, not stored; when a score is corrected, the statistics correct themselves at the next update.
- A page is only generated for market–outcome pairs whose sample exceeds 500 matches; no page is opened for pairs below that.
Look for this relationship in today's matches
The table above shows the past. To filter today's matches whose Match Result: Away opening odds fall within a given range and see their HT Over / Under 1.5 distribution live, use the analysis tools.
Frequently asked questions
Can HT Over / Under 1.5 be predicted from Match Result: Away odds?
A trend is measurable across 114,391 matches in the archive: with Match Result: Away opening odds in the 2.50–3.50 range, UNDER landed 67.7% of the time; with odds in the 1.00–1.30 range, this fell to 58.6%. The 9.1-point gap is a tendency, not a guarantee.
What does HT Over / Under 1.5 mean?
The first-half over/under 1.5 market only looks at the total goals scored in the first half. 2 or more goals is over.
How is the distribution on this page calculated?
Matches with Match Result: Away opening odds are split into odds bands, then in each band the HT Over / Under 1.5 outcome is calculated from the actual score and counted. Outcomes are not stored but derived from the score; if a score is corrected, the statistics are corrected too.
How many matches is this measured on?
Of the 117,860 matches with Match Result: Away opening odds, the HT Over / Under 1.5 outcome could be calculated for 114,391. Matches whose score has not arrived yet are not counted in the denominator. Archive range: 2024-01-01 – 2026-10-09.
Does it also apply to closing odds?
No. This page uses OPENING odds only. Closing odds form close to kick-off and carry different information; for the closing side, see the Closing Odds Analysis page.